AI 正在自動化寫程式，為何軟體開發職缺反而回升？
AI is automating coding. So why are software developer job postings on the rise?
摘要分析
CNBC 引述 Indeed 資料指出，自 2025 年 2 月底 Claude Code 問世以來，美國軟體開發職缺增加近 15%，同期整體職缺卻下滑 7%。但回升高度集中：增幅 71% 來自資深職位、37% 來自職稱含 AI 的工作，整體仍比疫情前低約 27.5%。GitHub 表示每三個 pull request 就有一個由 AI 代理參與。入門壓力未解：史丹佛 2026 AI Index 顯示 22–25 歲開發者就業較 2024 年減近 20%。麥肯錫 Kutcher 認為企業產出更多程式碼，需求反在預期被取代之處成長；BLS 仍預測十年成長 10%。
- 美國軟體開發職缺自 2025/2 起增近 15%，整體職缺卻跌 7%
- 增幅 71% 來自資深職、37% 來自 AI 職稱
- GitHub：三分之一 PR 已有 AI 代理參與
- 22–25 歲開發者就業較 2024 年減近 20%
- BLS 仍預測 2025–2035 年開發者就業成長 10%
CNBC reports that U.S. software-development job postings have risen almost 15% since late February 2025 (the launch of Anthropic's Claude Code), even as overall postings fell 7%, according to Indeed Hiring Lab. The rebound is concentrated: 71% of the May 2025–May 2026 increase came from senior roles and 37% from AI-titled jobs, while postings remain about 27.5% below pre-pandemic levels. GitHub says one in three pull requests now involves an AI agent, up from fewer than one in ten a year earlier. Entry-level pressure persists: Stanford's 2026 AI Index finds employment of software developers aged 22–25 fell nearly 20% from 2024, and employment in AI-exposed fields for that age group fell 16%. McKinsey's Eric Kutcher argues demand is growing where displacement was expected because companies now produce more code than ever. The BLS still projects 10% growth for the profession from 2025 to 2035.
- US software-dev postings up ~15% since Feb 2025 while overall postings fell 7%
- 71% of the gain from senior roles, 37% from AI-titled jobs
- GitHub: one in three pull requests now involves an AI agent
- Employment of developers aged 22–25 down nearly 20% from 2024
- BLS still projects 10% growth for developers through 2035
關鍵字：軟體開發職缺資深職位入門職位Claude Code
來源原文：https://www.cnbc.com/2026/10/11/ai-software-developer-jobs.html
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